Uncharted waters: Presidential successions in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Jos Boonstra and Marlene Laruelle Key points: • In both Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, the smoothness of the presidential successions will depend to a large degree on the redistribution of economic resources among political and business elites. • As new leaders will lack the clout of their predecessors they will likely seek consensus, potentially leading to some reform of state institutions, economic liberalisation but also rising nationalist sentiment. • Nation-wide revolts cannot be excluded, but presidential succession processes are more likely to be upset by disaffected elite members supporting local social-economic protests.
Posted on: Mon, 21 Apr 2014 16:42:27 +0000
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