REPORTS Analyses: Its my belief that its not the pressure from IGAD, Troika, Civil Society, etc. that will force the warring parties to humble back to Addis Ababa, ITS WHEN THERE IS NO MORE FUEL FOR THE WAR (Economic drought)...in accordance with the quote and the link below: While rebel forces have now been displaced from the Thar Jath oil field, production has not yet resumed, with SPOC claiming that the security situation needs to be resolved, and even then, repair and maintenance work will need to be carried out. The Unity oil field—the largest in the state—was shut down from 19-22 December, and the oil facilities were damaged in the clashes of the last few months. The Greater Pioneer Operating Company, which runs the oil field, has now sent security staff back into the field, but even if the security situation remains stable, production will not resume in the next few months. For the GRSS, further diminution of its oil revenue could have disastrous effects on its ability to sustain itself during the conflict, and—most crucially—pay the remnants of the SPLA still loyal to the government. As of 6 March, the SPLA are carrying out security operations around the oil fields, to eliminate the remaining rebel presence. smallarmssurveysudan.org/home.html
Posted on: Fri, 21 Mar 2014 15:40:46 +0000