FB friends who read my post know they get the best top-notch political analysis of current events. They also know I dont copy and paste out-dated thoughts or ways of thinking. You get fresh, new and relevant thoughts about politics and public policy. I only post certain conclusions based on objective analysis. Thats my standard. Here is what my political analysis says of what to expect in politics in 2015. 1. President Obama will shed the meaningless political label known as progressive. This is going to send emotional shock waves among those people living on another planet who insist on using progressive as their way of defining political philosophy. The basis of my certain conclusion stems from President Obamas need to shore up his presidential legacy and it now has all to do with JOBS. Yes, jobs. That happens to be a practical reality that confuses progressives who cannot relate to the reality of todays major need, which are jobs, more jobs and better paying jobs. 2. Obamacare laws will be changed by the Republican majority in Congress. The new changes will reflect the requirements or burdens that are placed upon small business owners who are not signing up for Obamacare mainly because it currently contains punitive penalties that are truly unfair for small business owners. President Obama will not use his veto pen on these changes. The basis of my certain conclusion has to do with restoring the traditional 40-hour work week. Currently, small business owners have only one option to comply with Obamacare and that is to shorten a full-time job with a part-time job in order to keep their bottom line in the black. 3. The two major political parties -- Republicans and Democrats -- will have interesting intra-party battles about who or which wing speaks for their party members. The basis of my certain conclusion is two-fold: (a) The Republican battle can best be summed up as a fight between Mitch McConnell and Ted Cruz. McConnell represents the interests of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other powerful groups such as the Texas Business Council. Cruz speaks for the Republican grass roots people who are living through the inequalities of the tax system and of an overly-oppressive government that is simply too large for the needs of people. (b) The Democratic Party battle is about Hillary Clinton. She carries the mantle of the Dems but she doesnt have a compelling message to share with the majority of the American people. Candidates lacking a compelling campaign message are sure losers because they cannot garner a 50% plus 1 vote plurality that is needed to be elected to office. Progressives will use the argument that the Democratic Party needs to be more progressive but that fundamental problem with that argument is that the majority of people dont know what progressive means because it is a meaningless political label. As such, it is a losing message and is most certainly not the type of compelling message a candidate needs to win a national election. Here is an example of my certain conclusion: Can anyone in their right mind and using their sensibilities imagine a Nancy Pelosi or a Harry Reid as winners? Their own Democratic member caucuses have to hold their own noses in following Pelosi or Reid in their respective congressional chambers. Most emotionally-mature Democrats wont say in public what they believe in private and that is that the only hope the Democratic Party has to remain viable with the majority of the American people is to shed the emotionally-immature progressive political label. And finally, the most certain conclusion I can share with FB friends is that the importance of social media channels like Facebook will leap to the forefront as the most prominent source of information to get up-to-the-minute news about politics and political candidates. The basis of my certain conclusion is that 20 years ago, there were no social media blogs. Today there are over 150 million blogs covering every topic that is known.
Posted on: Mon, 22 Dec 2014 10:27:40 +0000
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