RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP Tropical Cyclone MIKE Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 2 issued 0146 UTC Wednesday 19 March 2014 Current and Past Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details (at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue) Current Location and Intensity Number Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds Destructive Storm Force Winds Damaging Gale Force Winds Past Track and Movement Past Location and Intensity Number Forecast Location and Intensity Number Very Destructive Wind Boundary Destructive Wind Boundary Gale Force Wind Boundary Most Likely Future Track Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours The forecast path shown above is the Nadis best estimate of the cyclones future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks. Name: Tropical Cyclone MIKE Details: Time (UTC) Intensity Category Latitude (decimal deg.) Longitude (decimal deg.) Estimated Position Accuracy (km) 0hr 12 am March 19 1 18.7S 160.7W 85 +6hr 6 am March 19 1 19.9S 160.3W 110 +12hr 12 pm March 19 1 21.7S 160.0W 140 +18hr 6 pm March 19 1 22.9S 160.0W 165 +24hr 12 am March 20 1 24.2S 160.2W 195 +36hr 12 pm March 20 2 26.1S 161.5W 255 +48hr 12 am March 21 1 28.4S 162.9W 315 +60hr 12 pm March 21 1 30.7S 164.0W 405 +72hr 12 am March 22 tropical low 32.3S 164.2W 490 Fiji time is UTC +13 hours. For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time. For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time. Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa The next TC Forecast Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.
Posted on: Wed, 19 Mar 2014 02:44:14 +0000
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