Without some real movement by Didier or Cicotte, I think the more experienced GOPers will end up on the ticket. Two time looser, Didier has broader District-wide support, but its much more diluted. Clint has to tone down his rhetoric to broaden his appeal to more moderate voters, which isnt likely. Cicottes apparent strength appears to be close to home. If he really doesnt get outside that comfort area and work other populated areas in the District, he could be left by the road. His Contract with EaWA, a hommage to Gingrich 94 appears flat and cumbersome in an era of 30 sec sound-bites towards name recognition. Both Newhouse and Holmquist have to spread their wings to the more populated areas. Newhouse has an advantage coming from the Valley. If Janea stays only the best candidate from Moses Lake .. she wont be around in November. And trying to straddle her pitch to the extreme right and moderates .... may not be convincing enough. None of the GOPers and Independents for that matter, are making much of a move to attract Latinos. As more and more Latinos enter middle-class, they could be leaving more votes on the table, than they think. The Independents will likely pickup more voting GOPers than Dems and perhaps some new voters from the under 40 age group. And the Democrats? Two Latino Ds are competing for the solid 30% that always follow the D underdogs. Beltran will likely garner the bulk of that and perhaps some from the majority/minority areas and new voters as well. But unless the GOP devours itself in the Aug 5th race and leaves an opening ....... For the first time in 4th District history ... therell be NO Democrat on the November ballot.
Posted on: Mon, 30 Jun 2014 05:12:49 +0000
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