Įdomios įžvalgos apie tai, kaip rusai mato pasaulį Apie sankcijų poveikį - Economic shambles was the norm for Russia, and prosperity the exception. There is always the expectation that prosperity will end and the normal constrictions of Russian poverty return. - Russians strength is that they can endure things that would break other nations. - Sanctions reflect European and American thresholds of pain. They are designed to cause pain that the West could not withstand. Applied to others, the effects may vary. - Russians dont respond to economic pressure as Westerners do, and that the idea made famous in a presidential campaign slogan, Its the economy, stupid, may not apply the same way in Russia. Apie Ukrainą: - The case of Kosovo is extremely important to the Russians both because they feel that their wishes were disregarded there and because it set a precedent. - Russians view of Ukraine as a necessary strategic buffer and the idea that without it they would face a significant threat, if not now, then someday - Russians feel they have been far from offensive and have been on the defense. For the official, American fears of Russian hegemony were simply too far-fetched to contemplate. - Whatever Russia might do elsewhere, Ukraine is of fundamental strategic importance to Russia. Even if the east received a degree of autonomy, Russia would remain deeply concerned about the relationship of the rest of Ukraine to the West. As difficult as this is for Westerners to fathom, Russian history is a tale of buffers. Buffer states save Russia from Western invaders. Russia wants an arrangement that leaves Ukraine at least neutral. Apie konflikto plėtrą į kitas šalis: - there would be no Russian riots in the Baltics, no unrest in Moldova and no military action in the Caucasus. I think he was sincere. The Russians are stretched as it is. - The United States and Europe have trouble understanding Russias fears. Russia has trouble understanding particularly American fears. The fears of both are real and legitimate. This is not a matter of misunderstanding between countries but of incompatible imperatives. stratfor/weekly/viewing-russia-inside#axzz3M3VyJ3Eg
Posted on: Tue, 16 Dec 2014 10:52:05 +0000
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