Is Josh Smith horribly inefficient offensively? Absolutely. But its interesting that a player can have a higher DBPM than Anthony Davis this season even though Davis has a higher BLK% STL% and DRB%. Smith- DBPM: 3.2 DRB% 18.9 STL% 2.1 BLK% 4.2 DWS: 1.2 Davis- DBPM: 2.1 DRB% 24.5 STL% 2.5 BLK% 6.2 DWS: 1.5 ( For comparison ESPN’S DRPM is calculated without box score stats: Davis 3.25 (13th) Smith 2.87 (15th) In layman’s terms, DBPM factors in those box score rates in the calculation and then adjusts for SOS and defense at the team level, and then translates it all to a league average team. Since Davis’ defensive stats are better, its likely the case that Smith’s DBPM is higher since Davis benefits more in SOME way from his team. One thing to note: DBPM is known to understate a great defender’s value since the stat relies on box score figures for defense which are limited (OBPM doesn’t suffer from this). Because of that, its notable that a player who doesn’t compare in terms of BLK% STL% and DRB% can obtain a higher DBPM. The things that Davis does defensively, that don’t show on the stat sheet, likely means that his DBPM is undervalued. But even if Davis’ DBPM is understated by 50%, that would still put Smith and Davis on the same level. In sum, as bad as Smith is offensively, he’s so good on defense that he is a net positive and provides value to a team. If you’re still skeptical, chew on this: Opponents shoot 3.7% below their season average against Smith and 8.6% below than their season average from within 10ft. Opponents shoot 3.3% below their season average against Davis and 2.9% below than their season average from within 10ft. Davis stands out from his ability to alter shots on the perimeter 7.7% below season average from 3pt range; whereas opponents shoot 1.6% better against Smith. Merry Xmas. In Morey we trust
Posted on: Thu, 25 Dec 2014 10:25:22 +0000
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